International Tourist Numbers Could Fall 60-80% in 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a 22% fall in international tourist arrivals during the first quarter of 2020, the latest data from the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) shows. According to the United Nations specialized agency, the crisis could lead to an annual decline of between 60% and 80% when compared with 2019 figures. This places millions of livelihoods at risk and threatens to roll back progress made in advancing the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Tourism has been hit hard, with millions of jobs at risk in one of the most labour-intensive sectors of the economy

Available data reported by destinations point to a 22% decline in arrivals in the first three months of the year, according to the latest UNWTO World Tourism Barometer. Arrivals in March dropped sharply by 57% following the start of a lockdown in many countries, as well as the widespread introduction of travel restrictions and the closure of airports and national borders. This translates into a loss of 67 million international arrivals and about US$80 billion in receipts (exports from tourism).

Although Asia and the Pacific shows the highest impact in relative and absolute terms (-33 million arrivals), the impact in Europe, though lower in percentage, is quite high in volume (-22 million).

Prospects for the year have been downgraded several times since the outbreak and uncertainty continues to dominate. Current scenarios point to possible declines in arrivals of 58% to 78% for the year. These depend on the speed of containment and the duration of travel restrictions and shutdown of borders. The following scenarios for 2020 are based on three possible dates for the gradual opening up of international borders.

  • Scenario 1 (-58%) based on the gradual opening of international borders and easing of travel restrictions in early July

  • Scenario 2 (-70%) based on the gradual opening of international borders and easing of travel restrictions in early September

  • Scenario 3 (-78%) based on the gradual opening of international borders and easing of travel restrictions only in early December.

    Under these scenarios, the impact of the loss of demand in international travel could translate into:

  • Loss of 850 million to 1.1 billion international tourists

  • Loss of US$910 billion to US$1.2 trillion in export revenues from tourism

  • 100 to 120 million direct tourism jobs at risk

    This is by far the worst crisis that international tourism has faced since records began (1950). The impact will be felt to varying degrees in the different global regions and at overlapping times, with Asia and the Pacific expected to rebound first.

    Experts see recovery in 2021

    Domestic demand is expected to recover faster than international demand according to the UNWTO Panel of Experts survey. The majority expects to see signs of recovery by the final quarter of 2020 but mostly in 2021. Based on previous crises, leisure travel is expected to recover quicker, particularly travel for visiting friends and relatives, than business travel.

International tourist arrivals, 2019 and Q1 2020 (% change) International Tourism 2020 Scenarios

International tourist arrivals, 2019 and Q1 2020 (% change)

International Tourism 2020 Scenarios

International tourist arrivals in 2020: three scenarios (YoY monthly change, %)

International tourist arrivals in 2020: three scenarios (YoY monthly change, %)

When do you expect tourism demand in your destination will start to recover?

When do you expect tourism demand in your destination will start to recover?

Time for the Hotel Industry to “Remove the Box”

The hotel industry is one of the worst-hit industries during this crisis. A lot of studies have been conducted to help us understand the impact on the economy and our organization's bottom-line. Industry experts, through their various associations, have predicted that the average hotel occupancy in Malaysia for the year will stand at around 25% or less.

According to a recent study by Malaysia Association of Hotels (MAH), the industry is looking at a potential loss of RM6.3b in rooms revenue alone. Assuming rooms revenue accounts for 60% of the total hotel revenue, with F&B and other income accounting for the remaining 40%, the industry is facing a RM10.5b in potential losses.

MAH represents about 1,000 hotels out of the 4,880 hotels registered with the Ministry of Tourism Arts & Culture (MOTAC). However, these 1,000 hotels with 164,000 rooms represent 56% of total rooms inventory available throughout Malaysia.

 The number of hotels closing for business is increasing by the day, indicating not only loss of business, but also loss of jobs. The current estimate is that 1 million travel industry personnel (including hotel, airline, cruise and travel agents) will lose their jobs by the end of this year.

While we take stock and moan how the hotel industry's poor prospects, let us focus our attention on what we can, and should, do moving forward.

According to a study by the University of Singapore Technology and Design, China is expected to be the first to get back to normalcy while Malaysia's magic date is predicted to be July 6. Whether we like it or not, we should look at China as one of our main feeder markets, besides the domestic market of course. Consider appointing representatives or affiliates based in key cities in China to work with online platforms and mainstream travel agents there and start re-promoting Malaysia as a destination. Hoteliers need to actively prepare for this, and as soon as China reopens its doors, hotels must already be "Chinese friendly" at all service touch points

A financial reprojection is necessary to understand your hotel's new breakeven point. We often hear that the breakeven point (BEP) in an operating hotel is at 40% occupancy levels

At least for the short to mid-term, hotels will be looking at domestic travellers as a main source of customers. This will indeed be the fastest strategy to regain some occupancy. Malaysians still love the "Cuti-Cuti Malaysia" short getaways

Hotels may in the near future need to be certified "Social Distance Compliant" by authorities after they have practised and passed SOPs set by authorities. This is going to be very similar to the HALAL certification we see displayed on public areas. This could be something we will all be used to in the near future.

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Choice Hotels Announces Commitment To Clean Initiative

Building on the existing dedication to cleanliness at its nearly 6,000 franchised hotels in the United States, Choice Hotels International, Inc. announced a new initiative: Commitment to CleanThe initiative is Choice Hotels' holistic approach to supplying franchisees and their employees with the tools they need to help Choice-branded hotels achieve superior levels of cleanliness, and address health and safety concerns associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

Commitment to Clean leverages Choice's long-standing relationship with Ecolab, the industry expert and global leader in water, hygiene and infection prevention technologies and services; guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the World Health Organization and the U.S. Travel Association; and Choice's membership in the American Hotel and Lodging Association (AHLA) Safe Stay Advisory Council, to provide hotels with the latest resources and training.

The Commitment to Clean initiative builds on Choice Hotels' long-standing cleanliness protocols, and enhances the existing program with guidance developed in response to the pandemic, including recommendations related to deep cleaning, disinfecting, hygiene, and social distancing best practices and protocols.

Protocols

  • Heightened cleaning protocols for high-traffic areas such as the front desk, fitness centers and pools, as well as other high-touch surfaces throughout the hotel, using hospital-grade disinfectant approved by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to combat the spread of COVID-19

  • Housekeeping "on-demand" option that allows guests to request delivery of additional toiletries, towels, linens or coffee without having a housekeeper enter the room.

Products

  • Design enhancements to help facilitate contactless check-in and check-out, such as plexiglass partitions at front desks for added protection and key drops for guests' use upon departure.

  • "Clean seals" on certain high-touch items in guest rooms to provide reassurance of sterilized condition.

Communications

  • On-property signage and decals reiterating CDC social distancing guidelines, personal sanitation guidelines and the importance of surface cleaning.

  • Communications from front desk staff to guests about precautions taken for their safety and comfort, and reminders about additional safeguards available at guests' choosing.

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InterContinental Hotels Group PLC Business Update

InterContinental Hotels Group ("IHG") provides a business update in light of the rapidly evolving situation regarding Covid-19.

Current trading

IHG's Global RevPAR decreased 6% across January and February, with a broadly flat performance in the US offset by declines in Greater China, which saw an almost 90% decline in February.

During March, given the measures adopted by governments around the world to restrict travel and social contact, we are anticipating Global RevPAR declines of around 60%, with steeper declines in those markets most impacted by restrictions. Cancellation activity for April and May, and current booking trends, indicate continued challenging conditions. In Greater China we now have 60 hotels closed compared to 178 at the peak, and in recent days have begun to see improvements in occupancy, albeit at low levels.

Cost actions

We have many cost reduction and cash conservation measures at our disposal. These measures will result in a reduction of up to $150m in our fee business costs. Similar actions, along with a reduction in marketing spend, are being taken across the System Fund in response to expected lower assessment fee receipts. We are also taking action in our owned, leased and managed lease hotels to contain costs.

In addition, to support our owners and manage their cash flows, we have launched a comprehensive package of measures including delaying renovations and relaxing brand standards.

Cash Flow

IHG remains conservatively leveraged. The staggered bond maturity profile, with the first maturity of £400m not due for repayment until 2022, provides long term funding. In addition, the company has access to a $1.4bn Revolving Credit Facility (RCF), which is currently $1.2bn undrawn, which together with free cash flow generation provides significant liquidity

 In addition, the Board is withdrawing its recommendation of a final dividend of 85.9¢ (~$150m) announced on 18 February 2020 and will defer consideration of further dividends until visibility has improved.

We continue to monitor the situation closely and will provide further commentary at our First Quarter trading update on 7 May 2020.

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Hotel Industry 2020 – The New Normal

 The "light and warmth of hospitality," coined by Conrad Hilton, will not be apparent upon entrance to a hotel post COVID-19. Expect acrylic covered front desks, masks and gloves, signage advising guests to use caution, frequent disinfecting of public spaces, wide open lobbies with limited seating and restaurants and bars that have six feet of separation in every direction. The good news is that we are approaching the re-opening of the economy!

According to the top prognosticators in the hotel industry, here is what we are looking at from an occupancy, average rate (ADR), RevPAR perspective:

The best case seems to point to a drop in occupancy from 66% in 2019 to 50% in 2020 and a drop in ADR from $133 to $107 resulting in a RevPAR drop of over 30% from $88 to $55. Worst case scenarios have us dropping well below 50% in RevPAR, close to Armageddon. Once STR releases an April forecast, the overall average should increase. These firms have done a tremendous job of analysis given the completely different demand generators—the bad news here is that even in the best scenarios, there are no net profits forecast for 2020.

Operations

Profits will be gone in 2020 with hopes of a return to closer to normal revenues and profits in 2021 or 2022. The implementation of completely new protocols including hospital grade sanitization, masks and thermometers will be fairly expensive relative to supply costs.

Valuation

We can expect values to decline in line with net income, but with less deals done. The real question will be when will values come back to 2019 levels and will it be a buyer's or seller's market. The latter depends on how long it will take for this destabilized market to bounce back. Over-leveraged sellers will be at risk as short-term values will take a precipitous drop. However, lenders will only foreclose on operators who do not engage in a sincere way. They do not want to own hotels. Transaction volumes will be down according to an April, 2020 Lodging Industry Investment Council survey.

Supply

Airbnb and short-term rentals will continue to impact hotels. With unemployment numbers at new highs, millions of Americans will need to find a way to supplement their income and home sharing may be people's means to do so. New supply for those accommodations could surge and have a negative impact on hotel room rates in general. But many cities have sued Airbnb and our original prediction was that they would become an online travel agency (OTA) by 2020. Well, only time will tell, but they have postponed their 2020 IPO.

Demand

We will start to see two separate groups emerge - those who feel they can travel freely, and those who are still susceptible to the virus. The first group is made up of individuals who have tested positive for the virus anti-bodies - meaning they had the virus and lived and those who believe they are not at significant risk. This group will be our primary source of demand, while others may continue to quarantine and limit travel. This summer, we can expect to see "pent up" demand. After being stuck at home for eight or more weeks, consumers will be itching to travel.

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WTTC Outlines What “The New Normal” Will Look Like As We Start To Travel

The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) has outlined what the "new normal" will look like as countries begin to end their COVID-19 lockdowns and ease travel restrictions.

"Travelling in the New Normal" is part of WTTC's plan which includes critical steps and coordinated actions, including new standards and protocols, which offer a safe and responsible road to recovery for the global Travel & Tourism sector as consumers start planning trips again.

Public-private collaboration between business and governments is vital to develop new health protocols which will form the travel experience and also provide people with strong reassurances when travelling.

WTTC believes younger travellers in the 18-35 age group, who appear to be less vulnerable to COVID-19, may also be among the first to begin travelling once again.

"We should avoid new, unnecessary procedures that create bottle necks and slow down the recovery. However, a quick and effective restart of travel will only happen if governments around the world agree to a common set of health protocols developed by the private sector, such as those we've outlined.

"These must provide the reassurance travellers and authorities need, using new technology, to offer hassle-free, pre-vaccine 'new normal' travel in the short term."

This includes the International Air Transport Association (IATA), the Airport Council International (ACI), Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA), United States Travel Association (USTA), Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA), International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the European Travel Commission (ETC) and the World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO).

IATA, ACI and ICAO are pooling their crucial expertise and are working closely to define the best protocols to keep travellers and employees safe to enable the aviation sector to recover. The World Health Organisation (WHO) and other health experts have also contributed by providing their experience from various global medical crises.

There will be new protocols for check-in involving digital technology; hand sanitiser stations at frequent points including where luggage is stored; contactless payment instead of cash; using stairs more often than lifts where the 2 meter rule can be harder to maintain; and fitness equipment being moved for greater separation among other examples.

There are positive signs of the first green shoots of recovery. Research by travel data and analytics expert Cirium shows that over 30% of domestic capacity has returned to the Chinese aviation market in the last two months

WTTC says the Travel & Tourism sector is now facing over 100 million job losses worldwide due to the coronavirus pandemic, at a cost of up to US$2.7 trillion of GDP.

In 2019, Travel & Tourism contributed 10.3% of Global GDP, was responsible for generating one in four of the world's new jobs and, for nine successive years, had outpaced the growth of the global economy.

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Hospitality Industry Top Winners and Losers in the Post-Crisis Era

Here are the big winners as a result of the current coronavirus crisis:

1. Major Hotel Chains:  Currently 8 global hotel brands dominate many major markets: already 70% of hotel rooms in the U.S. and 50% in the U.K. belong to branded properties. 58.3% of roomnights, dominance in the corporate travel and group markets, comprehensive technology stack, expertise in maintaining and increasing occupancy and RevPARs in post-crisis, unparalleled direct channel distribution, 2x lower OTA commissions and 3x-4x lower dependency on the OTAs.

2. OTAs: The OTAs have emerged stronger after all of the previous crisis and calamities: 9/11, SARS, MERS, the recession, ZIKA, H1N1.. This "online planning and purchasing education" has created millions of converts and believers in online travel planning and booking, which will benefit the OTAs immensely.

3. Automation and Robotization of the Hospitality Industry:With labor costs constituting 33%-38% of overall operational cost and top line revenues plummeting, owners and managers will be looking to curtail costs and boost efficiencies. Next gen technology applications, automation, robots and devices will be replacing or augmenting back office operations, housekeepers, porters, reservation staff, front desk clerks, concierges, porters, line cooks, wait staff, etc. with robots, automation, AI-powered mobile check-ins and self-check-in and self-ordering kiosks etc.

Here are the biggest losers as a result of the coronavirus crisis:

1. Traditional and brick-and-mortar travel intermediaries: Even before the crisis the traditional intermediaries have been steadily losing market share. In the U.S. from more than 30,000 travel agencies 20 years ago, there were less than 9,000 left before the crisis. In the UK from nearly 9,000 travel agencies back in 2000, today there are less than 4,300 left

2. Destinations relying on long-haul or foreign feeder markets:

Drive-in and short-haul feeder markets will be the first to "wake up" in the immediate post-crisis period.Destinations relying on long-haul, fly-in or foreign feeder markets will experience very slow and painful recovery, which will extend well into 2021.

3. Independent Hotels:

The number of independent hotels has been shrinking for over 15 years. By adopting an asset-light business model and introducing soft brands, the major hotel chains have been aggressively expanding their global networks. In the post-crisis environment independent hotels will not be able to compete with the major brands for the fledgling travel demand and will further rely on the OTAs for their distribution.

 

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Web Traffic Shows Early Signs of Positive Trend Across All Regions

The latest edition of our bi-weekly Pulse Report published earlier today, providing hoteliers from around the world with a snapshot on key market metrics for April 6-19.

Providing an in-depth look at On the Books, New Bookings, Cancellations and Web Traffic data, the latest edition of the Report included the latest demand signals for Latin America as well as APAC, EMEA and North America.

The Duetto Team added the Latin American data to the report following suggestions from subscribers. LATAM has proved a vital new component to tracking the impact of COVID-19 on the hotel industry around the world.

"The data shows us LATAM still has a lot of confidence for the latter part of the year. There's a lot of bookings, especially for the latter part of the summer," Lofton remarks.

Pulse Report data for LATAM On The Books vs. STLY by Stay Month as of April 19th showed that travelers with bookings in Latin America continue to show a higher degree in confidence in stay dates from September 2020 onwards.

Weekly New Bookings vs. STLY by Stay Month for Latin America also showed a slightly positive year over year trend for bookings in 2021, with new bookings for stays between May and July.

New Reservations Provide Future Outlook

Also new to the Pulse Report this time is the addition of New Reservations data. This was added because the Pulse Report team wanted to be looking as much to the future as possible.

In APAC, the data for new bookings shows increased pace for Q2 2021. In EMEA a similar pattern can be seen, with an uplift in new reservations for May-July 2021. For North America, new bookings for 2020 continue to fall behind previous year figures, but new bookings for 2021 are exceeding pace.

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Hospitality Industry United for “Buy One, Give One” Campaign to Jumpstart Travel, Support Hotels and Provide Thank You to Healthcare Workers

To help Jumpstart Leisure Travel, the hospitality industry has united to launch Buy One, Give One, a "vacay layaway" program designed to generate immediate revenue for hotels, while simultaneously providing a "thank you" to healthcare workers who have been tirelessly working on the front lines.

Available at BuyOneGiveOneStay.com through June 30, the initiative incentives consumers to purchase future travel now with special offers ranging from discounted stays to gift cards to loyalty points for redemption prior to travel.

In return, participating hospitality brands/hotels will donate room nights, gift cards, or loyalty points to organizations, including the American Nurses Association and NewYork-Presbyterian, among others of their choice, to distribute to medical professionals who can use them toward future leisure stays.

 MMGY Global, the largest integrated marketing company specializing in the travel, tourism, and hospitality industry, and the Hospitality Sales & Marketing Association International (HSMAI) partnered to launch the effort.

Hospitality has been one of the industries most impacted by the coronavirus pandemic with 70% of hotel employees laid off or furloughed and eight in 10 hotel rooms empty, according to data released by the American Hotel & Lodging Association (AHLA).

From the comfort of their homes, travelers can explore enticing offers from more than 30 participating hospitality brands and hotels and counting. They can also take comfort in knowing that their purchases will result in meaningful donations by the participants.

"In these unprecedented times, it is more important than ever for all of us to join together to fuel recovery," said Bob Gilbert, CHME, CHBA, President & CEO of HSMAI. "With Buy One, Give One, we offer a collective charitable response to the pandemic across the hospitality industry, providing immediate funds to hotels in addition to a much-deserved respite in the future for those who have put their lives on the line to care for the sick."

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Hospitality Sector Should Prepare for an Extended Stay from COVID-19

"The impact to our industry is already more severe than anything we've seen before, including September 11th and the Great Recession of 2008 combined." A chilling statement from Chip Rogers, President of the American Hotel & Lodging Association (AHLA) on March 17—just as COVID-19 was starting to unleash its global fury.

Decimation

To understand the full scope, you need to look at the impact on the providers who support this $1.6 trillion industry. Many hotel properties that were running at 70% occupancy are now below 5%, and the industry is in danger of losing four million jobs along with $3.5 billion per week. With numbers like these, there's no "silver lining" and with all of the pain and uncertainty that remain, how can we realistically talk about a "new normal?"

Hospitality Company Impact

  1. Liquidity - During times like these, cash is king. It's literally a lifeline. Public hotel companies are aggressively raising debt through note offerings to increase near-term liquidity. Hilton recently announced that it had pre-sold $1 billion in cash worth of loyalty points to American Express, a relatively inexpensive source of near-term liquidity for the company. Companies have slashed corporate staff anywhere from 15% to 50%. 

  2. Technology - Properties and companies that were early adopters of technology will be better positioned to weather the COVID-19 storm. We're already seeing a preference toward mobile pay options versus cash. Imagine hotels staffed entirely by robots; this is already a common practice in Japan.

  3. Higher Costs - There will increased expenditures on quality assurance and sanitation programs. And while hospitality companies will need to invest in masks, sanitizers, gloves and enhanced training, until demand returns to normal these costs probably can't be passed onto consumers

  4. Spatial Changes - Have we witnessed the beginning of the end of the Las Vegas buffets? Communal has become a dirty word across all industries.

  5. Planning for the Next One - At some point, hospitality companies will need to create or update their disaster planning/recovery guides

    Traveler Impact

    Deep Discounts - A traveler's dollar will certainly go farther, specifically in cities that have had coronavirus clusters. It's a simple issue of supply and demand.

    Government Involvement - Just like after 9/11, flyers had increased demands on identification. Similarly, we could see COVID-19 travel requirements such as antibody certificates; personal protective gear requirements; mandatory temperature taking upon entry of a restaurant, cruise ship, theme park, etc.

    Risk Aversion Isn't One Size Fits All - Let's face it, traveling in and around Boise isn't the same as traversing Boston.

    A Way Forward

    The knock on the big established chains was that they were slow to change and adapt to consumer preferences.

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Optii Solutions Appoints Katherine Grass as Chief Executive Officer

Optii Solutions, the provider of the most advanced labor optimization solution for hotel housekeeping teams, announced the appointment of Katherine Grass as Chief Executive Officer as well as the creation of a Playbook designed to give hotels a head start in efficiently managing the challenges presented preparing properties for recovery in a post-COVID world.

 She has over 20 years in the IT and travel sectors. She joined Optii Solutions from their lead investor, Thayer Ventures, a travel-tech focused venture capital firm and has held senior-level positions with Amadeus IT Group and Amadeus Ventures.

The Playbook is a data-driven, lean operations guide discussing the universal challenges faced by each hotel and will propose strategies to overcome these challenges, turning operations into a lean and resilient machine.

"The Playbook is a guide to assist hoteliers with the monumental task ahead for reopening and getting back to being profitable," said Katherine Grass, CEO of Optii Solutions. 

Industry leaders agree that, once we come out of this crisis, our industry will need to be more nimble and creative across all departments. The Playbook outlines tips and strategies hoteliers can apply to their operations to overcome six fundamental challenges that lie ahead during these uncertain times.

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Centara Hotels & Resorts launches ‘Help the Heroes’ campaign with donations to support healthcare workers and communities in need

Bangkok, Thailand - Centara Hotels & Resorts, Thailand's leading hotel operator, has launched 'Help the Heroes', a campaign aimed at supporting those in need during COVID-19, with donations going to the Chaipattana COVID-19 Aid Fund (and other pandemics) and Thai Red Cross Society.

'Help the Heroes' is an initiative designed to directly benefit health workers and vulnerable communities impacted by COVID-19. When a consumer buys a Centara cash voucher for a future escape, Centara will add a further 50% value to the purchase. Half will go to the buyer, with the value of the voucher being increased by 25% to help them get more out of their next adventure, when it is safe to travel again. And the other half will be made as a donation to those in need, with the customer able to choose which of the two charities Centara donates to.

Both selected charities support the fight against COVID-19. The Chaipattana COVID-19 Aid Fund (and other pandemics) provides support for under-resourced hospitals with items such as personal protective equipment and other essential medical supplies. The Red Cross Society provides medical supplies to hospitals and masks to the most vulnerable people.

To help Thailand's heroes, people can visit the company's website and buy Centara cash vouchers. Valid from now until 31 October 2021 and with a value starting at THB1,000, the vouchers can be redeemed for hotel stays or spending in the hotel whilst staying at any Centara Hotels & Resorts' properties in Thailand and overseas.

The company is also providing complimentary hotel accommodation and meals to healthcare workers while flagship property

Has hosted doctors, nurses and other healthcare staff from the Police Hospital since 1st April 2020. The company is also poised to launch a social media campaign to thank the healthcare heroes from Thailand and around the world.

Centara Hotels & Resorts supports social distancing and the Thai government and global initiatives to stay at home. The company also recently introduced a high-quality delivery service to take food to people's homes during the crisis.

In addition, thermal scanners check the temperature of guests and visitors; those with high fever or other symptoms may undergo additional screening. When checking in, all hotel guests are also asked to fill out a questionnaire enquiring about their prior trips.

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A Message to Employees From Tripadvisor CEO and Co-founder, Steve Kaufer

Due to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business, Tripadvisor announced a workforce reduction that will impact more than 900 employees, which is approximately one-quarter of our total workforce. 

Here’s a brief summary of what I shared with our team earlier today:

Team:

I delivered some tough news about steps we are taking as a company to seek significant cost savings that will help Tripadvisor get to the other side of the COVID-19 pandemic. I know that today marks a difficult day for many of our colleagues and friends.  Everyone’s lives have been upended by this virus, and I continue to be profoundly humbled by and, at the same time, so proud to see everyone in this company rising to the occasion. I’ve been in awe, watching you all work day and night to ensure travelers and our travel partners receive the high level of service expected of our brand as teams remain virtually connected and productive.

But sometimes, the most valiant of efforts aren’t enough to counter outside circumstances and, as a public company, it is our responsibility to adjust, adapt and evolve to the environment that surrounds us. 

Here is our new reality as a company

We need to take action to ensure Tripadvisor can focus on its mission to serve travelers for years and decades to come. The management team and I have been executing a three-phased plan to navigate near-term challenges and position our business for recovery. 

As I shared with you a few weeks ago, this included a series of Phase 1 decisions: 

  • We cut nearly all but the most essential discretionary spending, effectively ending all business travel, ending non-essential vendor relationships, pausing nearly all hiring and significantly reducing office perks and benefits; 

  • I declined a salary for the remainder of 2020; and 

  • We would pull every lever we could in order to preserve as many jobs as possible. 

As the pandemic progressed faster than anyone anticipated, we determined the need to enact Phase 2 of our cost reduction plans. 

Taking advantage of government subsidy programs in Europe, we were able to swiftly furlough hundreds of employees, primarily at TheFork, in sales-related roles.  We hope to bring back these furloughed employees later in the year as the industry recovery is realized. This immediate action helped Tripadvisor to preserve needed operating capital. 

We had hoped cutting discretionary expenses and furloughs would be enough, but as the pandemic worsened, it became clear that the company needed to take additional cost saving measures. 

Today, I announced Phase 3, which includes a significant workforce reduction and additional Tripadvisor employee furloughs.  

In most markets, we will also be asking for the majority of our remaining salaried employees to take both a temporary pay reduction and also to work a reduced schedule for the summer months. 

Some of the guiding principles that influenced these decisions include a focus on:

  • Reducing our overall headcount across the company, particularly in areas where we are seeing reduced client demand;

  • Reducing management layers, giving more responsibility to a fewer number of people;

  • Closing open roles within the company that are not deemed essential to our immediate needs, as we radically focus on the most important priorities; 

  • Reducing our global real estate footprint (which currently includes 52 offices we maintain around the world);

  • And importantly, supporting our people as they exit the organization.

    To help, we are launching the Tripadvisor Alumni Network, a community of current and past employees of this company who can assist in transition efforts. As a part of the network, we are creating an opt-in list of impacted employees that we will share with our network in the hopes that they might help our teammates who are seeking future employment. We will also provide a secure, private way for both our employee and alumni communities to share job leads, provide support, and keep in touch.  iT will support those leaving the organization by facilitating connections, sharing job leads, and, for those employees who opt-in, making their names visible to organizations that are hiring.

Our path moving forward

Tripadvisor was organized in a way that allows for ambitious and transformative improvements to the consumer experience. We reorganized Tripadvisor to more directly focus on the traveler.  As ONE Tripadvisor, we’re thinking more holistically about the traveler seeking advice on where to go and stay, thinking about how to get there and what to do when they arrive. Decisions that impact travelers have been made holistically, with detailed consideration of the trade-offs that relate to our Tripadvisor platform operations, our business strategy and our anticipated financial results.

Creating compelling consumer offerings for travelers and diners

As a result of these changes:

  • We are integrating the Tripadvisor Flights, Car and Cruise teams into the B2C team under Lindsay.  

  • Cruise Critic will continue to run as a standalone business, and will now report into Ernst Teunissen, our Chief Financial Officer and a member of the Executive Leadership Team.

  • Additionally, we will also be dissolving SmarterTravel as a business unit. As we determine the future path for these media brands, we will integrate SmarterTravel’s portfolio of branded sites into Lindsay Nelson’s organization. 

    Serving our media partners and the 8 Million+ travel, hospitality and tourism businesses listed on Tripadvisor

    Kanika Soni, our Chief Commercial Officer, will lead a unified B2B organization that supports all 8 million+ partners listed on Tripadvisor by helping them reach our highly qualified audience via the Hotel Auction and our existing advertising products and media solutions. 

    As we look to diversify and grow our revenue, our B2B teams will also:

  • Merge Tripadvisor’s B2B Restaurants team with our B2B Accommodations team By joining forces with the group formerly known as Hotel Solutions, we are going to bring the best minds in the company together to deliver and offer best-in-class support for ALL of our partners

  • Focus on launching and expanding our new SaaS offerings (e.g. menu distribution, reputation management) for both our Hotel & Restaurant partners.

  • Unify our advertising sales organizations, inclusive of the non-endemic display sales team

    The future of experiences and restaurants reservations

    Our experiences and restaurant reservations businesses face the same challenges as Tripadvisor during this pandemic, but I continue to believe that both TheFork and Viator have bright futures before them as each of these brands navigate this crisis. As such:

  • TheFork has been one of the fastest growing businesses within Tripadvisor’s portfolio, and with Bertrand’s entire focus back on this business, we are confident this trend will continue. 

  • Viator’s future remains bright as a standalone Experiences OTA, under the leadership of Ben Drew as its president and ELT member

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Scenarios for What the Travel Industry Might Be Dealing with After Covid-19 - Travel Weekl

Smart Travel Lab, which is focused on sustainability in travel, has got together with Kantar, to put together four scenarios to depict what a post- Covid-19 travel industry might look like.

• Close Call: "The Surge for Survival" describes how companies taking drastic measures to survive will also need to be prepared for the pent-up demand as consumers are released from lockdowns. There will be a "short window of opportunity to recover from losses" but stresses companies need to have the resources to compete.

• Panic Attack: "Stay local, stay safe" predicts that consumer behavior, naturally more risk averse during the crisis will have changed habits for the longer term. This means travel companies will need to earn trust again.

• Recurring Nightmare: "Two seasons, two travelers" describes a scenario where the virus comes back for portions of the year. This leads to consumers able to travel for a part of the year and in lockdown for the remainder. In this scenario, more well-off segments of the population able to spend the year away from it all while others are unable to afford to travel. Brands would need to choose who they target in this model.

• Brave New Reality: "Travel Safety by fiat" envisages a world where Covid‐19 is a permanent feature but governments step in to manage it with regulation. The scenario would see borders close as and when infection emerges and would mean companies could operate in "a relatively stable and prosperous business environment" but be prepared for restrictions being put in place.

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Should Hotels Consider Resuming Google Ads and Other Search Campaigns? - PhocusWire

After the brutal shock to the travel industry due to the coronavirus crisis, the vast majority of hotels stopped or questioned all their investments in online marketing, mainly Google Ads and metasearch.

This decision made a lot of sense given the severity and exceptional circumstances of the moment.

Investment fell 80% in the second half of March, compared to the first half, and 90% when compared to the same period in 2019 - figures that correspond with those in a Cleveland Research report.

They illustrate the huge concern that hotels face and new variables to consider that did not exist before:

  • Cash flow. In the current situation, one of the objectives of any company, including hotels, is maintaining the highest possible amount of cash. The vast majority of investments in online marketing are paid in advance and that is a problem now.

  • Uncertainty. Most hotels have no idea yet when they can reopen. They have tentative dates that are pushed back as the days go by. It is impossible to forecast if the gradual reopening of hotels will start in June or September. Given this great uncertainty, how can we risk investing in a model such as CPC (cost per click) without a guarantee of conversion and that, above all, those reservations will not be cancelled?

  • Profitability. Many hotels anticipated that their campaigns would not be profitable in this situation and, when facing this, the best thing is to pause it all.

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Zoom now worth more than American Airlines ,Expedia ,Hilton combined

Teleconferencing app Zoom is now valued more than the market capitalization of three billion -dollar travel and hospitality companies in the US .As of April 17,Zoom had a market value of American Airlines ,Expedia and Hilton stood at $ 34 billion .

It gained over$200 million daily users in March during worldwide lockdowns.

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Panic pricing won’t work for big hotels

We urge the stakeholders of the hospitality industry not to reduce their prices less than 5% of their original rates,” said Nirav Gandhi, Director of Express Group of Hotels and Executive Committee of FHRAI.

He was moderating a webinar organised by the industry body, The Federation of Hotel and Restaurant Associations of India, on ‘Survival to revival, restart and resume operations’.

Delna Jasoomoney, Associate VP-Travel industry Sales & Luxury Partnerships for Taj Hotels and Resorts, who was also present in the panel, said that the industry should not go for panic pricing crashing the rates. “Dropping the prices down won’t make a difference. Apart from offering our customers less price we should try to offer best value. We also need to be flexible with policies and cancellations,” she said.

Jasoomoney mentioned that IHCL has ensured that they keep the engagement with their customers very strong even during the crisis. According to her, there will be a pent up demand once things normalise. She also mentioned that most of the outbound travellers will now hesitate to fly abroad, thus opening up a big avenue for hoteliers to channelise those travellers into inbound travel.

Dropping the price down is not a viable option that big giants are looking for, but for individual or small chain hotels, it might be the only option left to cope with the dire situation. 

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48% of Americans Canceled Summer Travel Due to Coronavirus Concerns

Uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic has caused nearly half (48%) of Americans to cancel their summer travel plans for this year leading to more distress for the travel industry

Here's what our survey found:

  • 46% of those who had upcoming travel plans lost money on nonrefundable deposits and cancellation fees, averaging $854.30 per person. Most of the lost costs came from airline tickets (59%) and hotel rooms (44%).

  • The coronavirus pandemic is changing consumers' views about travel. Forty-three percent feel more negatively about the industry as a whole, and many will change their behavior as a result. For example, 55% said they're less likely to take a cruise once the pandemic is over, and 52% are more fearful of overseas travel.

  • 1 in 4 Americans are planning a celebratory trip once the threat of the coronavirus disappears, especially millennials, Gen Xers, parents of children under 18 and six-figure earners.

  • 40% of consumers said they're more likely to purchase travel insurance for future trips due to the coronavirus. However, 18% said the health crisis made them less likely to consider insuring their future trips.

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Booking.com plans for lay offs after landing $4bn loan

Online travel agent Booking.com has told employees in an internal memo that layoffs from the company are "probable", just days after the Financial Times reported it had received a $4 billion loan in bonds from investors to fend off severe effects caused by the coronavirus crisis.

In a video conference held with hundreds of employees, Booking.com chief executive Glenn Fogel is believed to have said cost-cutting would likely be necessary across different parts of the company, according to the Financial Times' report.

One of Booking.com's key competitors, Expedia Group, has already been forced to make 3000 employees redundant  since the turn of the year as reality bites.

Booking.com is committing to slash marketing expenditure, executive salaries and hirings for the foreseeable future, as a major cost-cutting exercise and bookings continue to drop to 85 per cent year-on-year in April compared to the same period in 2019.

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Upcoming Live Webinars - Restaurant Industry in NYC and Travel Industry’s Road to Recovery

What's Next for NYC Restaurants

 COVID-19 and social distancing have completely changed the way restaurants and bars can do business. Because foodservice is considered an essential service, operators can choose to remain open if they limit their sales to takeout and delivery only.

While this “new normal” will work for some operators, others will be forced to shut down. Neither choice is ideal in this new, ever-changing, and volatile business environment, and owners, operators, and their suppliers are being forced to make difficult decisions every day to protect their businesses, assets, employees, and guests.

The Travel Industry’s Road to Recovery

 COVID-19 presents a challenge of historic proportions for the travel industry. The measures put in place to stop the spread of the pandemic – border closures, stay-at-home orders, and quarantines – have brought travel to a standstill, and no one can say when these policies will be eased or if additional measures will be implemented.

This panel of travel industry experts will discuss the current market dynamics and different recovery scenarios.

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